There are just two weeks of NFL action left this season — the Super Bowl on February 11… and the AFC and NFC Championship games (which will determine who plays in the Big Game) that are set to happen this Sunday.
After a Wild Card Round that was lacking in competitiveness, the Divisional Round brought us plenty of late-game drama, and now we have two incredible matchups on tap:
The No. 1 seed 49ers host a Detroit side that’s looking to reach its first Super Bowl ever.
Lamar Jackson and the No. 1 Ravens look to quiet their doubters… but need to do so against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, who are hunting for their fourth SB appearance in the past five seasons.
Covers NFL betting expert Jason Logan has free NFL picks for both of these matchups, including a best bet and a same-game parlay to play for both championship games.
Check out his plays below, with all Conference Championship odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Jason Logan’s Chiefs at Ravens picks
Best bet: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 pass TD (+144)
The probable return of tight end Mark Andrews is music to Jackson’s ears. He’s been sidelined since Week 11 with an ankle injury but was a full participant in practice last week before sitting out the Divisional Round. Andrews had eight touchdown catches before going down and led the Ravens in receiving TDs the previous two seasons. He’s Jackson’s top target and adds another reliable red zone option.
Read Jason’s full analysis in his Chiefs vs. Ravens predictions.
Same-game parlay
Ravens moneylineLamar Jackson Over 1.5 pass TDPatrick Mahomes Over 1.5 pass TDNo-sweat promo available
+439 at FanDuel
Jason Logan’s Lions at 49ers picks
Best bet: Lions team total Under 21.5 (-116)
Jared Goff has benefitted not only from a home-friendly schedule but also from playing at indoor venues; he sees his production slip in the fresh air with his completion rate dropping to 63.59% (vs. 70.2% indoors) and his yards per attempt at 6.47 (8.09 indoors), leading to a low passer rating of 87.9 (104.0 indoors). Venue aside, Goff takes on one of the best pass defenses in the league, as the 49ers finished No. 6 in EPA allowed per dropback and gave up the fifth-fewest yards per attempt (5.9), with opposing QBs owning an average passer rating of 79.2.
Read Jason’s full analysis in his Lions vs. 49ers predictions.
Same-game parlay
Lions team total Under 21.5Jared Goff Under 1.5 passing touchdownsDavid Montgomery Over 46.5 rushing yardsNo-sweat promo available
+435 at FanDuel
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Jared Hochman
Content Manager
Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King’s College in, Halifax, N.S., “Hoch” brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers’ NHL Puck Props.
Awarded Covers’ company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop — something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.
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